Dividend Safety Snapshot
Score how reliable a stock's dividend looks. Rules-based, transparent — no AI guesswork.
How It Works — What the safety score actually measures
The Dividend Safety Snapshot combines four publicly observable signals into a single 0–100 number. There is no AI, no opinion, and no proprietary "secret sauce" — the formula is published below the score.
The four signals are: payout ratio (how much of every earnings dollar is paid out as a dividend — lower is safer); free-cash-flow coverage (how many times over the company's free cash flow could pay the dividend bill); growth streak (how many consecutive years management has raised the dividend); and cut history (whether the dividend has ever been reduced in the last decade). The first two are weighted at 30% each because they're the directly measurable cashflow signals; the streak gets 25% because past behavior is the least gameable signal; cut history gets 15% as a small weight, but a single cut caps the headline score at 50 — a binary penalty more honest than a single weight.
Concrete example: a stock with a 75% payout ratio (Stretched, 12 of 30), 1.6× FCF coverage (Solid, 22 of 30), 62 years of growth (Aristocrat, 25 of 25) and no cuts (Clean, 15 of 15) earns 74/100. That's "Solid, but stretched payout ratio caps the upside" — honest about the signal we can see today.
When the live fundamentals data is temporarily unavailable, the page falls back to a Lite mode that scores only the two signals available from dividend history (streak + cut). Lite uses a /40 scale — never /100 — so the partial scale is unmistakable. REITs structurally distribute most of their cash flow as dividends, so the FCF-coverage rule doesn't fit them; we exclude that component and renormalize the score over the remaining weights.
Dividend Safety Snapshot iA 0–100 number combining four rules-based dividend safety signals. Not a buy or sell rating. See Methodology.
Ticker iType a US-listed ticker like KO, JNJ, O. The score auto-computes when the ticker resolves.
Enter a ticker above to see its safety snapshot.
Methodology & full breakdown
Formula
score = round( Σ wi · si / Σ wi · 100 ), optionally capped at 50 if a dividend cut is detected in the last 10 years.
Component bands & weights
| Component | Band | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Payout ratio iThe slice of every dollar of profit a company pays out as dividends. 60% means $0.60 of every dollar earned goes to shareholders; 100% means everything. | ≤40% / 40–60% / 60–80% / >80% | 30 / 22 / 12 / 3 | 30 |
| FCF coverage iHow many times over a company's free cash flow could pay its dividend bill. 2× means there's a full extra dividend's worth of cushion. | ≥2× / 1.5–2× / 1–1.5× / <1× | 30 / 22 / 12 / 3 | 30 |
| Growth streak iNumber of consecutive years the per-share dividend has gone up. 25+ years earns the Aristocrat label. | ≥25 / 10–24 / 5–9 / <5 | 25 / 18 / 10 / 3 | 25 |
| Cut history iWhether the company has reduced its dividend in the last 10 years. A single cut caps the safety score at 50; past behavior matters. | None / Any cut | 15 / 0 (caps final at 50) | 15 |
Glossary
- TTM iTrailing twelve months: the most recent four reported quarters added together.
- Trailing twelve months — the four most recent reported quarters.
- FCF (Free Cash Flow) iCash left over after a company pays for operations and capital projects. Stronger predictor of dividend safety than reported earnings, which can be massaged.
- Cash left over after operations and capital expenditures.
- Aristocrat tier iS&P 500 companies with 25+ consecutive years of dividend increases. The tightest reliability cohort in the US market.
- 25+ consecutive years of dividend growth.
- ADR iAmerican Depositary Receipt: a US-traded version of a foreign stock. We can't reliably score these because earnings and dividends use different currencies.
- American Depositary Receipt — calculator unrated due to currency mismatch.
Data sources & limitations
- Fundamentals: Yahoo
quoteSummary(modules: defaultKeyStatistics, financialData, summaryDetail, cashflowStatementHistory). Refreshed up to every 4 hours. - Dividend history: Yahoo v8 chart (cleaned). Refreshed daily.
- What's NOT accounted for: one-off special dividends, spinoffs, tax-policy changes, future earnings guidance, sector-specific cashflow conventions (REITs use FFO/AFFO instead of FCF — treated as N/A here).
Page conforms to YieldChampion §1.5 Retail/Pro Balance Principle.
Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only. Numbers come from public market data and may be stale. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.